⚠ ALERTS
KEY EVENTS
Myanmar Air Force airstrike killed at least 50 civilians in Kyauktaw Township, Rakhine State, part of 510 documented massacres since 2021.
Photo exhibition in Jakarta on Myanmar resistance since 2021 coup; no armed clash reported.
Tatmadaw airstrike kills six IDPs in Rakhine State; follows earlier attack that killed at least 50 civilians in the same conflict.
Burma Air Force conducted seven airstrikes on an IDP camp in Ponnagyun Township, Rakhine State, killing at least one civilian and injuring two; AA seized Ponnagyun on March 4.
Regime discharged Thaphan Seik Dam in Sagaing Region, flooding 10,000 acres of farmland in Shwebo, Depayin, Khin-U, Myinmu, Wetlet townships to deprive resistance of food.
| Region | Score | Trend | Events |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rakhine State | 61 | ↑ rising | 61 |
| Sagaing Region | 15 | ↑ rising | 18 |
| Kayin State | 7 | ↑ rising | 9 |
| Naypyidaw Union Territory | 7 | ↑ rising | 11 |
| Kayah State | 4 | → stable | 4 |
STATE VARIABLES
MODIFIERS
TIME HORIZON
Configure parameters and run simulation
to see probability distributions
| Region | Events | Avg Sev | Deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| ⚔Rakhine State | 61 | 2.1 | 858 |
| ⚔Sagaing Region | 18 | 2.3 | 236 |
| 🚨Naypyidaw Union Territory | 11 | 1.6 | — |
| ⚔Kayin State | 9 | 2.0 | 13 |
| 🚨Mandalay Region | 4 | 1.8 | — |
| ⚔Kayah State | 4 | 2.5 | 11 |
| ⚔Kachin State | 3 | 1.3 | — |
| ⚔Yangon Region | 3 | 1.3 | — |
| ⚔Tanintharyi Region | 3 | 1.7 | — |
| ⚔Mon State | 2 | 1.5 | — |
| ✊Bago Region | 1 | 2.0 | — |
| ⚔Magway Region | 1 | 2.0 | — |